UK weather: ‘Baltic Beast’ rampages towards Britain as deluge threatens flood mayhem

Bitter winds from the Baltic and Scandinavia will bring ‘dangerous’ blizzards and sub-zero temperatures to Britain for at least four days from today along with yet more heavy rain over already-deluged areas.

Yorkshire and the North East of England will today bear the brunt of the downpours before ice and snow are forecast to follow, hitting the eastern side of the country and reaching London and the south coast.

The cold front, dubbed the ‘Beast from the Baltic’, could put vulnerable people at risk amid concerns it might slow down the coronavirus vaccinations rollout, especially in Scotland which will face the heaviest snow.

The wintry conditions are due to a change in the weather with an easterly airflow arriving from Scandinavia – and the Met Office said flurries will move southwards, bringing ‘a chance of heavier snow for a time in the South’. 

The Midlands and South East are ‘most likely to see disruptive snow accumulating more widely’ from late tomorrow until mid-Sunday. Up to 6in (15cm) of snow could fall on high ground 4in (10cm) at lower levels.

Macritchie Highland Distribution driver John Maclean took this photograph from his lorry cab while stuck on the A835 Ullapool Road near Inverness this morning as parts of Scotland faced heavy snow

A Level Two cold weather alert – which encourages people to prepare for freezing conditions – has been issued by the Met Office, running from 9am tomorrow until 9pm next Tuesday.

Before that, heavy rain is expected today in the Pennines, north-east England and Yorkshire. The Met Office said the conditions ‘may cause flooding and some disruption’ including travel delays.

The Environment Agency has 136 flood alerts and 38 warnings out for England, with concern for residents near the River Thames in Berkshire and Oxfordshire, and the River Severn in Gloucestershire and Worcestershire.

There are also four alerts in Wales. Today’s downpours in the North could mean as much as a month and a half of rain has fallen in north-eastern areas since Tuesday. The rain is due to turn to snow early tomorrow morning.

A further warning for more snow and a cold easterly wind has been issued for the east of Britain for all day Monday, with up to 1.6in (4cm) of further snow expected widely and up to 2.8in (7cm) on exposed eastern hills.

By Sunday, most areas of England and Wales apart from western coasts could see temperatures close to or below freezing. The bitter easterly winds will make it feel even colder.

By next week, temperatures will be struggling to get much above 0C (32F) in quite a few places, with some areas such as the Pennines and high parts of Scotland seeing several degrees below that.

Birmingham faces lows of -2C (28F) by Tuesday morning, while a strong easterly wind will make it feel many degrees below freezing in some parts, according to Met Office forecaster Steven Keates.

He said it will be ‘really unpleasant’ to be outdoors, adding: ‘If you do have to go outside there are lots of layers required I think.’

In Scotland yesterday, winds began sweeping snow across the country, burying railway tracks and whipping up 30ft drifts.

It will be Saturday evening before the conditions ease in the Highlands and the North-East, while a 60-hour yellow warning kicks in for much of Scotland, including the Central Belt, from today until noon on Sunday.

Met Office forecaster Alex Deakin described the blizzards as ‘dangerous’, adding: ‘Where snow is falling, it is heavy and it is already causing some significant disruption. Things are only going to get worse before they get better.’

An amber ‘danger to life’ warning is in place, and Mr Deakin said up to 20in (50cm) of snow could fall, landing on top of accumulations built up over recent days.

At Dalwhinnie, Inverness-shire, snow drifts 2ft high halted services on the main rail line between Inverness and the south. Network Rail said it had sent a snow plough to the affected area but expected disruption to continue.

The funicular railway at Cairngorm Ski Centre provided evidence of just how high the snow had reached when it overtopped the track, which stands 30ft above the ground.

All of the country’s ski centres are closed due to coronavirus restrictions, despite some of the best sporting conditions in years. The amber warnings for the Highlands and North-East continue until 6pm tomorrow.

The Met Office warning said: ‘Communities might be cut off for several days. Long interruptions to power supplies and other services, such as gas, water, telephone and mobile phone coverage could occur.’

The rest of Scotland is braced for extreme whiteout conditions until noon on Sunday. Hill snow will begin falling at lower levels on Saturday into Sunday, potentially dropping as much as 8in (20cm).

Even after that 60-hour warning expires for most of Scotland at noon on Sunday, a fresh one for snow begins at midnight on Sunday, lasting all of Monday. The affected area includes the Northern Isles, the East Coast and the Central Belt.

Nicky Maxey of the Met Office said: ‘You are going to see disruption in one part of the country or the other. We will continue to see cold daytime temperatures into next week, made to feel worse as a result of wind chill.

‘In Aberdeen, for example, you could see temperatures of 2C (35F) on Sunday and Monday but the wind chill will make it feel like -5C or -6C (23F or 21F). Our extended 30-day forecast sees this easterly, cold, pattern continuing through most of February.’

Meanwhile the forecasts for heavy snow and icy conditions have sparked fears Scotland’s vaccinations rollout could be jeopardised.

First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said she was ‘concerned’ by the severe weather warnings for the coming days but urged Scots to keep their vaccination appointments.

Yesterday, Miss Sturgeon said: ‘I’m always concerned when there are severe weather forecasts. We want people to be able to get to vaccination centres and forecasts and reports of heavy snow concern me and make my heart sink a little bit.

‘Of course, logic and common sense tells you that severe weather does have an impact on these things, we just have to try and minimise that.’

Miss Sturgeon said that the Scottish Government and local authorities had ‘resilience preparations’ in place to ensure that gritting and snow clearing would prioritise the vaccine programme to ensure it could run ‘as smoothly as possible’.

She added: ‘People should go and get vaccinated when they [have an appointment], but if an older person is worried because there are icy conditions and they don’t have anyone who can help them or perhaps drive them to their appointment, then contact your local health board who will attempt to be as flexible as possible.’

NHS Grampian and NHS Highland have said people who cannot attend their vaccination appointments due to adverse weather can rearrange their appointments. Details of how to do this are contained in letters sent to people confirming their vaccinations, with either phone or online options.

Transport Secretary Michael Matheson said people should plan when making journeys. He said: ‘It’s important to remember the current Covid restrictions mean you should only be leaving your home for an essential purpose.

‘Please consider if your journey is absolutely necessary before setting off, especially if you’re in the amber warning area.’

Transport Scotland said the trunk road network will be closely monitored, with dedicated patrols and road surface treatments. The Multi-Agency Response Team was activated at the start of the week and will remain operational for the duration of the weather warnings

Miss Sturgeon voiced her concerns as she revealed 45,085 people had received their first dose in the past 24 hours – the highest daily total so far and a 52 per cent rise from a week earlier.

She said: ‘The uptake rates we’re seeing are way beyond anything I could ever have believed would be possible – way beyond what we see in the flu vaccine programme.

‘That’s testament to the willingness and the enthusiasm of people to come forward and be vaccinated for their own safety, but also to be part of that collective effort that we need to have to beat this virus.’

Miss Sturgeon said Scotland had chosen to focus on care home vaccinations initially but is now catching up on the other priority groups.

She said: ‘We’re motoring through the other groups and we’ll continue to do that at the pace that we are now setting.

‘If we take the last two days, we are not just vaccinating more compared to last week ourselves, but the vaccination rate in Scotland is about 30 per cent higher in the past couple of days this week so far than in England.’